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Analysis of existing weather and climate information in Malawi

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The paper reviews the scope of weather and climate information available for Malawi, taking into account both southern African and international sources of information. It also provides an overview of Malawi’s current climate, nature of recent observed changes, and projected future changes based on a combination of Global Climate Model (GCM) ensembles (under the Representative Concentration Pathways, RCP, scenarios) as cited in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth  

The paper has outlined the main sources of weather and forecast information in Malawi, ranging from short- to medium-term weather forecasts to longer term climate projections based on GCMs and two different methods of downscaling: statistical and dynamical. It has also summarised Malawi’s current climate and data availability from different sources, both within the country (the DCCMS), and outside (including CSAG and CSIR in South Africa; and various other institutions in Europe and the United States).