PUBLICATIONS

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Climate Risk Narratives: An iterative reflective process for co-producing and integrating climate knowledge

Christopher David Jack; Richard Jones; Laura Burgin; Joseph Daron

Abstract We introduce the concept of Climate Risk Narratives (CRNs), their origin, and their evolution through a trans-disciplinary engaged research activity around urban climate resilience. While the use of narratives as a communication and engagement device is well established and…

Changes in global groundwater organic carbon driven by climate change and urbanization

Liza K. McDonough, Isaac R. Santos, Martin S. Andersen, Denis M. O’Carroll, Helen Rutlidge, Karina Meredith, Phetdala Oudone, John Bridgeman, Daren C. Gooddy, James P. R. Sorensen, Dan J. Lapworth, Alan M. MacDonald, Jade Ward & Andy Baker

Climate change and urbanization can increase pressures on groundwater resources, but little is known about how groundwater quality will change. Here, we use a global synthesis (n = 9,404) to reveal the drivers of dissolved organic carbon (DOC), which is an important…

Using Co-Behavior Analysis to Interrogate the Performance of CMIP5 GCMs over Southern Africa

Quagraine, Kwesi A., Bruce Hewitson, Christopher Jack, Piotr Wolski, Izidine Pinto, and Christopher Lennard.

As established in earlier research, analysis of the combined roles (co-behavior) of multiple climate processes provides useful insights into the drivers of regional climate variability, especially for regions with no singular large-scale circulation control. Here, we extend the previous study…

Effects of explicit convection on future projections of mesoscale circulations, rainfall and rainfall extremes over Eastern Africa

Declan L. Finney, John H. Marsham, David P. Rowell, Elizabeth J. Kendon, Simon O. Tucker, Rachel A. Stratton & Lawrence S. Jackson

Eastern Africa’s fast-growing population is vulnerable to changing rainfall and extremes. Using the first pan-African climate change simulations that explicitly model the rainfall-generating convection, we investigate both the climate change response of key mesoscale drivers of Eastern African rainfall, such…

What drives the intensification of mesoscale convective systems over the West African Sahel under Climate Change?

R.G.J. Fitzpatrick, J.H. Marsham, D.P. Rowell, F.M. Guichard, C.M. Taylor, K.H. Cook, E.K. Vizy, L.S. Jackson, D. Finney, J. Crook, R. Stratton & S. Tucker

Extreme rainfall is expected to increase under climate change carrying potential socio-economic risks. However, the magnitude of increase is uncertain. Over recent decades, extreme storms over the West African Sahel have increased in frequency with increased vertical wind shear shown…

Recent Trends in the Daily Rainfall Regime in Southern West Africa

Francis Nkrumah, Théo Vischel, Geremy Panthou, Nana Ama Browne Klutse, David C. Adukpo & Arona Diedhiou

Extreme climate events, either being linked to dry spells or extreme precipitation, are of major concern in Africa, a region in which the economy and population are highly vulnerable to climate hazards. However, recent trends in climate events are not…

Lake Malawi’s threshold behaviour: A stakeholder-informed model to simulate sensitivity to climate change

Ajay G.Bhave, Lauren Bulcock, Suraje Dessai, Declan Conway, Graham Jewitt, Andrew J. Dougill, Seshagiri R. Kolusu & David Mkwambisi

Over 90% of Malawi’s electricity generation and irrigation depend on Lake Malawi outflows into the Shire River. Recent lake level declines have raised concerns over future climate change impacts, including the risk of no outflows if the Lake Malawi Outflow…

Towards resilient African cities: Shared challenges and opportunities towards the retention and maintenance of ecological infrastructure

Patrick O’Farrell, Pippin Anderson, Christina Culwick, Paul Currie, Jessica Kavonic, Alice McClure, Gertrude Ngenda, Eoin Sinnott, Nadia Sitas, Carla-Leanne Washbourne, Michelle Audouin, Ryan Blanchard, Benis Egoh, Julie Goodness, Ilse Kotzee, Tom Sanya, William Stafford & Gien Wong

The retention and maintenance of ecological infrastructure is recognized as an important element of sustainable, healthy cities. We explore the shared challenges and opportunities linked to ensuring that ecological infrastructure is incorporated into the existing and emerging African cities that…

Learning from climate change perceptions in southern African cities

Anna Steynor, Maximillian Leighton, Jessica Kavonic, Waarith Abrahams, Lapologang Magole, Suzgo Kaunda & Chipo Plaxedes Mubaya

Scholarly understanding of an individual’s climate change risk perception in the African context, is limited, including amongst those who have an influence on policy making. This discussion paper goes some way towards filling this gap in understanding by providing preliminary…

City to city learning and knowledge exchange for climate resilience in southern Africa

Mzime R. Ndebele-Murisa; Chipo P. Mubaya; Lulu Pretorius; Rudo Mamombe; Kornelia Iipinge; Wilma Nchito; John K. Mfune; Gilbert Siame; Brenda Mwalukanga

Southern African cities face several challenges including management of rapid urbanization, rising populations, expanding informal settlements; adequate water and other service provision, and a host of governance challenges. Climate change and variability add a compounding effect to this complex, multi…