PUBLICATIONS

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Brief: Projecting future water availability in Lake Malawi and the Shire River basin

Ajay G. Bhave, Lauren Bulcock, Suraje Dessai, Declan Conway, Graham Jewitt, Andy J. Dougill, Seshagiri Rao Kolusu and David Mkwambisi

Malawi is highly dependent on water from Lake Malawi and the Shire River basin (Figure 1). Over 90% of Malawi’s electricity depends on outflows from the lake into the Shire River which feed three existing hydropower plants – Tedzani, Nkula…

Brief: Zambia’s adaptation to climate change

Ali Romdhani, Monica Coll Besa, Dianne Scott, and Sukaina Bharwani

This brief explores how certain ideas and framing potentially shape state action in Zambia. The analysis is based on a review of five key policy documents from Zambian institutions, with a special focus on Lusaka, the nation’s capital. The brief…

Brief: Possible futures for urban East Africa under a changing climate

Laura Burgin, Met Office, UK; Grady Walker, Walker Institute, University of Reading; Celia Way, University of Leeds; Rosalind Cornforth, Walker Institute, University of Reading; Barbara Evans, University of Leeds; Dave Rowell, Met Office, UK; John Marsham, University of Leeds; Fred Semazzi, North Carolina State University; Geoffrey Sabiiti, Makerere University, ICPAC; Andrew Ainslie, University of Reading; Julio Araujo, SouthSouthNorth; Matthew Ascott, British Geological Survey; Dai Clegg, Evidence for Development; Andrew Clenaghan, Practical Action; Dan Lapworth, British Geological Survey; Kamazima Lwiza, Stony Brook University; David Macdonald, British Geological Survey; Celia Petty, Evidence for Development; John Seaman, Evidence for Development; Caroline Wainwright, University of Reading

Three possibilities for what the climate might be like in 2050 and the resulting impacts felt by urban areas of East Africa are described here. Three climate futures have been selected to demonstrate a range of plausible futures but they…

Brief: Possible futures for Rural East Africa under a changing climate

Laura Burgin, Met Office, UK; Grady Walker, Walker Institute, University of Reading; Celia Way, University of Leeds; Rosalind Cornforth, Walker Institute, University of Reading; Barbara Evans, University of Leeds; Dave Rowell, Met Office, UK; John Marsham, University of Leeds; Fred Semazzi, North Carolina State University; Geoffrey Sabiiti, Makerere University, ICPAC; Andrew Ainslie, University of Reading; Julio Araujo, SouthSouthNorth; Matthew Ascott, British Geological Survey; Dai Clegg, Evidence for Development; Andrew Clenaghan, Practical Action; Dan Lapworth, British Geological Survey; Kamazima Lwiza, Stony Brook University; David Macdonald, British Geological Survey; Celia Petty, Evidence for Development; John Seaman, Evidence for Development; Caroline Wainwright, University of Reading

These stories describe three possible futures for rural East Africa in 2050. How the climate will change in the coming decades is uncertain, so three different plausible futures are included to demonstrate this range. These futures do not cover every…

Policy brief: Policy coherence for sustainable development in sub-Saharan Africa

Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment and London School of Economics and Political Science

Cross-sectoral approaches to policy development are essential to meeting the Paris Agreement on climate change and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), which define the post-2015 development agenda. Coherent policy development requires strategic, logical assessment of interlinkages, trade-offs and opportunities within…

Building Resilience in African Cities: A Think Piece

Spires, M., Kavonic, J., Cullis, J. & Coll Besa, M.

Resilience has become a powerful term, used in multiple contexts, at multiple scales. A mutually understood definition, that all who use it adhere to, is lacking, particularly in relation to the future development of cities, and in the developing world.…

CI4T Briefing note for Kenya

Dr Neha Mittal; Dr John K. Bore; Dr Joseph Sang; Prof. Andrew Dougill

Climate change is a global phenomenon with potential effects at the local level. Future climate projections indicates that mean annual temperature for Kenya may increase by 2.0 to 3.6°C by 2100 (Figure 1), while annual total precipitation may increase by…

CI4T Briefing note for Malawi

Dr Neha Mittal - University of Leeds, UK; Dr David Mkwabisi - Lilongwe University of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Malawi; Prof. Andrew Dougill - University of Leeds, UK

Climate change is a global phenomenon with potential effects at the local level. Our analysis of climate model projections indicates that mean annual temperature for Malawi may increase by 2.3 – 6.3°C by the 2090s (Figure 1), while rainfall projections…

Brief: Future climate projections for Malawi

UMFULA

This brief provides an overview of future climate change in Malawi, using results from the latest available climate model simulations. The UMFULA research team analysed 34 Global Climate Models (GCMs) that provide projections for Malawi to help planning and decision…

Impacts of hemispheric solar geoengineering on tropical cyclone frequency

Jones, A., Haywood, J., Dunstone, N., Emanuel, K., Hawcroft, M., Hodges, K.

Solar geoengineering refers to a range of proposed methods for counteracting global warming by artificially reducing sunlight at Earth’s surface. The most widely known solar geoengineering proposal is stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI), which has impacts analogous to those from volcanic…