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FCFA Research Consortium Summary - UMFULA

Roy Bouwer (SouthSouthNorth); Declan Conway (London School of Economics); Luleka Dlamini (SouthSouthNorth); Estelle Rouhard (London School of Economics); Katharine Vincent (Kulima Integrated Development Solutions); And wider UMFULA team

This brief provides a summary of the UMFULA research consortium which carried out research on climate change in southern and eastern Africa as part of the FCFA programme. UMFULA aimed to improve climate information for medium-term (5-40 year) decision-making in…

FCFA Research Consortium Summary - HyCRISTAL

Matthew Ascot (British Geological Survey); Roy Bouwer (SouthSouthNorth); Rosalind Cornforth (Walker Institute) Luleka Dlamini (SouthSouthNorth); Barbara Evans (University of Leeds); Dan Lapworth (British Geological Survey); David MacDonald (British Geological Survey)John Marsham (University of Leeds); Neha Mittal (University of Leeds); Celia Petty (Evidence for Action); Dave Rowell (Met Office); Grady Walker (University of Reading) Celia Way (University of Leeds)

This brief provides a summary of the HyCRISTAL research consortium which carried out research on climate change in east Africa as part of the FCFA programme.  HyCRISTAL aimed to develop new understanding of East African climate change and variability and…

Learning from the FCFA Programme

Julio Araujo (SouthSouthNorth); Blane Harvey (McGill University); Ying-Syuan (Elaine) Huang (McGill University)

This Learning Review is a part of the programmatic learning endeavour to take stock of the lessons emerging from FCFA’s collective experience that might inform future investments into research on climate and development. We focus on three interrelated themes: project…

Summary of FCFA work in Zambia

Roy Bouwer (SSN); Alice McClure (CSAG)

This brief provides a summary of the work FCFA carried out in Zambia. Future Climate for Africa (FCFA) aims to generate fundamentally new climate science focused on Africa, and to ensure that this science has an impact on human development…

Changes in global groundwater organic carbon driven by climate change and urbanization

Liza K. McDonough, Isaac R. Santos, Martin S. Andersen, Denis M. O’Carroll, Helen Rutlidge, Karina Meredith, Phetdala Oudone, John Bridgeman, Daren C. Gooddy, James P. R. Sorensen, Dan J. Lapworth, Alan M. MacDonald, Jade Ward & Andy Baker

Climate change and urbanization can increase pressures on groundwater resources, but little is known about how groundwater quality will change. Here, we use a global synthesis (n = 9,404) to reveal the drivers of dissolved organic carbon (DOC), which is an important…

Lake Malawi’s threshold behaviour: A stakeholder-informed model to simulate sensitivity to climate change

Ajay G.Bhave, Lauren Bulcock, Suraje Dessai, Declan Conway, Graham Jewitt, Andrew J. Dougill, Seshagiri R. Kolusu & David Mkwambisi

Over 90% of Malawi’s electricity generation and irrigation depend on Lake Malawi outflows into the Shire River. Recent lake level declines have raised concerns over future climate change impacts, including the risk of no outflows if the Lake Malawi Outflow…

A water resource simulator in Python

Tomlinson, J. E., Arnott, J. H., & Harou, J. J

A new generalised water resource network modelling Python library, Pywr, is presented. Given hydrological inflows, Pywr simulates customisable water allocation and operation rules throughout complex multi-purpose managed water systems at each user-defined time-step. The model uses a low-level interface to…

The Cape Town “Day Zero” drought and Hadley cell expansion

Natalie J. Burls, Ross C. Blamey, Benjamin A. Cash, Erik T. Swenson, Abdullah al Fahad, Mary-Jane M. Bopape, David M. Straus & Chris J. C. Reason

In early 2018, Cape Town (population ~3.7 million) was at risk of being one of the first major metropolitan areas in the world to run out of water. This was due to a severe multi-year drought that led to the…

Implications of improved representation of convection for the East Africa water budget using a convection permitting model

Declan L. Finney, John H. Marsham, Lawrence S. Jackson, Elizabeth J. Kendon, David P. Rowell, Penelope M. Boorman, Richard J. Keane, Rachel A. Stratton and Catherine A. Senior

The precipitation and diabatic heating resulting from moist convection make it a key component of the atmospheric water budget in the tropics. With convective parametrisation being a known source of uncertainty in global models, convection-permitting (CP) models are increasingly being…

Water Security in Windhoek: governance, water demand and supply, and livelihoods in the context of urbanization and climate change

Mfune, J.K., Kazembe, L., Sirunda, J., Lewis, E., Nickanor, N. & Makuti, O.

In the study, UJAMS Waste Water Treatment Plant (UWWTP) served as a case study to investigate governance and policy analysis in relation to water security in the city of Windhoek. The study revealed that there are different actors that were…