PUBLICATIONS

Loading...

FCFA Research Consortium Summary - UMFULA

Roy Bouwer (SouthSouthNorth); Declan Conway (London School of Economics); Luleka Dlamini (SouthSouthNorth); Estelle Rouhard (London School of Economics); Katharine Vincent (Kulima Integrated Development Solutions); And wider UMFULA team

This brief provides a summary of the UMFULA research consortium which carried out research on climate change in southern and eastern Africa as part of the FCFA programme. UMFULA aimed to improve climate information for medium-term (5-40 year) decision-making in…

Lake Malawi’s threshold behaviour: A stakeholder-informed model to simulate sensitivity to climate change

Ajay G.Bhave, Lauren Bulcock, Suraje Dessai, Declan Conway, Graham Jewitt, Andrew J. Dougill, Seshagiri R. Kolusu & David Mkwambisi

Over 90% of Malawi’s electricity generation and irrigation depend on Lake Malawi outflows into the Shire River. Recent lake level declines have raised concerns over future climate change impacts, including the risk of no outflows if the Lake Malawi Outflow…

How can we improve the use of information for a climate-resilient Malawi?

Dougill, A., Mkwambisi, D., Vincent, K., Archer, E., Bhave, A., Malinga, R.H., Mataya, D. C., Mittal, N. and Tembo-Nhlema, D.

This brief presents the main research findings from the Future Climate for Africa UMFULA project that are relevant for policy and practice on how to integrate climate information and increase resilience to climate change in Malawi. The research team is…

A water resource simulator in Python

Tomlinson, J. E., Arnott, J. H., & Harou, J. J

A new generalised water resource network modelling Python library, Pywr, is presented. Given hydrological inflows, Pywr simulates customisable water allocation and operation rules throughout complex multi-purpose managed water systems at each user-defined time-step. The model uses a low-level interface to…

African Easterly Jet South: control, maintenance mechanisms and link with Southern subtropical waves

Giresse Kuete, Wilfried Pokam Mba & Richard Washington

The African Easterly Jet South (AEJ-S) is an important feature of the central African mid tropospheric circulation and has been identified as a key contributor to convection over the region. This study uses 21-year (1983–2003) Reanalysis data sets of ERA-Interim,…

Respond Magazine COP 25, Madrid 2019.

Responding to Climate Change (RTCC)

FCFA research featured in an article in the Respond Magazine that was disseminated at COP 25. The article is found on pg. 32 and 33 and titled Protecting East African Tea Exports against climate change focussing on FCFA research of…

A classification of synoptic weather patterns linked to extreme rainfall over the Limpopo River Basin in southern Africa

Ramontsheng S. Rapolaki, Ross C. Blamey, Juliet C. Hermes, Chris J. C. Reason

In the last few decades, the Limpopo River Basin (LRB) has experienced a number of extreme rainfall events which were responsible for considerable socio-economic and environmental impacts. Most of the population here is poor and dependent on rain-fed agriculture. In…

The Cape Town “Day Zero” drought and Hadley cell expansion

Natalie J. Burls, Ross C. Blamey, Benjamin A. Cash, Erik T. Swenson, Abdullah al Fahad, Mary-Jane M. Bopape, David M. Straus & Chris J. C. Reason

In early 2018, Cape Town (population ~3.7 million) was at risk of being one of the first major metropolitan areas in the world to run out of water. This was due to a severe multi-year drought that led to the…

Variability in the Mozambique Channel Trough and impacts on southeast African rainfall

Rondrotiana Barimalala, Ross C. Blamey, Fabien Desbiolles, and Chris J. C. Reason

The Mozambique Channel Trough (MCT) is a cyclonic region prominent in austral summer in the central and southern Mozambique Channel. It first becomes evident in December with a peak in strength in February when the Mozambique Channel is warmest and…

How can we effectively build capacity to adapt to climate change? Insights from Malawi

Diana Chanika Mataya, Katharine Vincent, Andrew Dougill

Despite significant investments in capacity building across sub-Saharan Africa, to date no rigorous assessment has been undertaken to interrogate the extent these efforts have effectively translated into planning and implementing climate change responses. Through qualitative data obtained from interviews with…