PUBLICATIONS

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Detection and attribution of human influence on regional precipitation

Beena Balan Sarojini, Peter A. Stott and Emily Black

Understanding how human influence on the climate is affecting precipitation around the world is immensely important for defining mitigation policies, and for adaptation planning. Yet despite increasing evidence for the influence of climate change on global patterns of precipitation, and…

Causes of the uncertainty in projections of tropical terrestrial rainfall change: East Africa

David P. Rowell and Robin Chadwick

Understanding why different climate models produce different projections of future regional climate change is critical for the evaluation of the reliability of their projections. This study investigates the causes of projection spread across CMIP5 models for seasonal mean rainfall change…

Changes in climate extremes over West and Central Africa at 1.5°C and 2°C global warming.

Arona Diedhiou, Adeline Bichet, Richard Wartenburger, Sonia I Seneviratne, David P Rowell, Mouhamadou B Sylla, Ismaila Diallo, Stella Todzo, N’datchoh E Tour´, Moctar Camara, Benjamin Ngounou Ngatchah, Ndjido AKane, Laure Tall and Francois Affholder

In this study, we investigate changes in temperature and precipitation extremes over West and Central Africa (hereafter, WAF domain) as a function of global mean temperature with a focus on the implications of global warming of 1.5 ◦C and 2◦C…

Designing the next generation of climate adaptation research for development

Lindsey Jones, Blane Harvey, Logan Cochrane, Bernard Cantin, Declan Conway, Rosalind J. Cornforth, Ken De Souza and Amy Kirbyshire

Adaptation research has changed significantly in recent years as funders and researchers seek to encourage greater impact, ensure value for money and promote interdisciplinarity across the natural and social sciences. While these developments are inherently positive, they also bring fresh…

Skilful prediction of Sahel summer rainfall on inter-annual and multi-year timescales

K.L. Sheen, D.M. Smith, N.J. Dunstone, R. Eade, D.P. Rowell and M. Vellinga

Summer rainfall in the Sahel region of Africa exhibits one of the largest signals of climatic variability and with a population reliant on agricultural productivity, the Sahel is particularly vulnerable to major droughts such as occurred in the 1970s and…

HyCRISTAL: Report from the second annual meeting

Owiti Zablone

The second HyCRISTAL annual meeting brought project team and other stakeholders together to get to share the progress made and allowed the team to identify and harmonise cross-pillar activities; interact with partners and identify decisions that needs to be made; conduct…

Teleconnections between Ethiopian rainfall variability and global SSTs: observations and methods for model evaluation

Mekonnen Adnew Degefu, David P. Rowell and Woldeamlak Bewket

Rainfall variability in Ethiopia has significant effects on rainfed agriculture and hydropower, so understanding its association with slowly varying global sea surface temperatures (SSTs) is potentially important for prediction purposes. This research provides an overview of the seasonality and spatial…