PUBLICATIONS

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FCFA Research Consortium Summary - AMMA-2050

Roy Bouwer (SouthSouthNorth); Luleka Dlamini (SouthSouthNorth); Christopher Taylor (UK Centre for Environment and Hydrology); Emma Visman (UK Centre for Environment and Hydrology)

This brief provides a summary of the AMMA-2050 research consortium which carried out research on climate change in the West Africa region as part of the FCFA programme. AMMA-2050 aimed to increase understanding of the regional climate of West Africa…

Summary of FCFA work in Senegal

Roy Bouwer (SSN); Christopher Taylor (UK CEH); Emma Visman (UK CEH)

This brief provides a summary of the work FCFA carried out in Senegal. Future Climate for Africa (FCFA) aims to generate fundamentally new climate science focused on Africa, and to ensure that this science has an impact on human development…

Summary of FCFA work in Burkina Faso

Maïmouna Bologo/Traore (2iE Institute); Roy Bower (SSN); Tazen Fowe (2iE Institute); James Miller (UK CEH); Chris Taylor (UK CEH); Emma Visman (UK CEH)

This brief provides a summary of the work FCFA carried out in Burkina Faso. Future Climate for Africa (FCFA) aims to generate fundamentally new climate science focused on Africa, and to ensure that this science has an impact on human development across…

Policy Brief: Building blocks for co-producing climate services

S. Carter; A. Steynor; K. Vincent; E. Visman; K.L. Waagsaether

This brief provides decision-makers with practical information on how to use a co-production approach to achieve better informed development of climate services with relevance for African decision-makers. It draws on the learning from the Weather and Climate Information Services for Africa…

What drives the intensification of mesoscale convective systems over the West African Sahel under Climate Change?

R.G.J. Fitzpatrick, J.H. Marsham, D.P. Rowell, F.M. Guichard, C.M. Taylor, K.H. Cook, E.K. Vizy, L.S. Jackson, D. Finney, J. Crook, R. Stratton & S. Tucker

Extreme rainfall is expected to increase under climate change carrying potential socio-economic risks. However, the magnitude of increase is uncertain. Over recent decades, extreme storms over the West African Sahel have increased in frequency with increased vertical wind shear shown…

Recent Trends in the Daily Rainfall Regime in Southern West Africa

Francis Nkrumah, Théo Vischel, Geremy Panthou, Nana Ama Browne Klutse, David C. Adukpo & Arona Diedhiou

Extreme climate events, either being linked to dry spells or extreme precipitation, are of major concern in Africa, a region in which the economy and population are highly vulnerable to climate hazards. However, recent trends in climate events are not…

Uncertainties in the Annual Cycle of Rainfall Characteristics Over West Africa in CMIP5 Models

Sow, Magatte, Moussa Diakhaté, Ross DD Dixon, Françoise Guichard, Diarra Dieng, and Amadou T. Thierno Gaye.

This study analyses uncertainties associated with the main features of the annual cycle of West African rainfall (amplitude, timing, duration) in 15 CMIP5 simulations over the Sahelian and Guinean regions with satellite daily precipitation estimates. The annual cycle of indices…

Potential impact of climate change on solar resource in Africa for photovoltaic energy: analyses from CORDEX-AFRICA climate experiments

Bichet, A., Hingray, B., Evin, G., Diedhiou, A., Kebe, C. M. F., & Anquetin, S.

The development of renewable electricity in Africa could be massive in coming decades, as a response to the rapid rising electricity demand while complying with the Paris Agreements. This study shows that in the high-resolution climate experiments of CORDEX-AFRICA, the…

Larger Future Intensification of Rainfall in the West African Sahel in a Convection‐Permitting Model

S. Berthou, E. J. Kendon, D. P. Rowell, M. J. Roberts, S. Tucker, R. A. Stratton

Monsoon rainfall in West Africa mostly comes from mesoscale convective systems, which are not well represented by standard convection‐parameterized regional climate models (RCMs). We use a 4.5 km resolution convection‐permitting RCM (CP4A) which has a good representation of these processes in…

Sahelian Precipitation Change Induced by SST Increase: The Contrasting Roles of Regional and Larger‐Scale Drivers

Ross D. Dixon, Philippe Peyrillé Françoise Guichard

Representing the West African Monsoon is a major challenge in climate modeling because of complex mechanisms of interaction across scales. We study the monsoon precipitation response to a 4K increase in sea surface temperatures using an idealized meridional‐vertical (2D) model,…