PUBLICATIONS

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On the use and misuse of climate change projections in international development

Hannah Nissan, Lisa Goddard, Erin Coughlan de Perez, John Furlow, Walter Baethgen, Madeleine C. Thomson, Simon J. Mason

Climate resilience is increasingly prioritized by international development agencies and national governments. However, current approaches to informing communities of future climate risk are problematic. The predominant focus on end-of-century projections neglects more pressing development concerns, which relate to the management of shorter-term risks and…

Madagascar influence on the South Indian Ocean Convergence Zone, the Mozambique Channel Trough and southern African rainfall

Rondrotiana Barimalala, Fabien Desbiolles, Ross C. Blamey, and Chris Reason

We show that the topography of Madagascar is essential to adequately simulate the atmospheric circulation and rainfall over southern Africa and the neighboring southwest Indian Ocean. By conducting a set of numerical experiments, we evaluate the role of Madagascar and…

From Amazonia to southern Africa: Atmospheric moisture transport through Low Level Jets and Atmospheric Rivers

Alexandre M. Ramos, Ross C. Blamey, Iago Algarra, Raquel Nieto, Luis Gimeno, Ricardo Tomé, Chris J.C. Reason, and Ricardo M. Trigo

A Lagrangian analysis is applied to identify the main moisture source areas associated with atmospheric rivers (ARs) making landfall along the west coast of South Africa during the extended austral winter months from 1980 to 2014. The results show that…

What can climate services learn from theory and practice of co-production?

Katharine Vincent,Meaghan Daly, Claire Scannell, Bill Leathes

Co-produced climate services are increasingly recognised as a means of improving the effective generation and utilisation of climate information to inform decision-making and support adaptation to climate change, particularly in developing countries. There is a rich literature outlining the theoretical…

Climate information needs in Southern Africa: a review

Daleen Lotter, Claire Davis, Emma Archer, Katharine Vincent, Joanna Pardoe, Mark Tadross, Willem Landman, Sabine Stuart Hill and Graham Jewitt

This review has two objectives: To review the current availability of climate information in a southern African context; 2. To assess the climate information requirements of a variety of end users in the southern African region using empirical findings from…

Climate change and the water-energy-food nexus: insights from policy and practice in Tanzania

Joanna Pardoe, Declan Conway, Emilinah Namaganda, Katharine Vincent,Andrew J. Dougill and Japhet J. Kashaigili

The threat of climate change is emerging at a time of rapid growth for many economies in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Dominant narratives comprising ambitious development plans are common and often based around sectors with strong inter-dependencies that are highly exposed…

CI4T Briefing note for Kenya

Dr Neha Mittal; Dr John K. Bore; Dr Joseph Sang; Prof. Andrew Dougill

Climate change is a global phenomenon with potential effects at the local level. Future climate projections indicates that mean annual temperature for Kenya may increase by 2.0 to 3.6°C by 2100 (Figure 1), while annual total precipitation may increase by…

CI4T Briefing note for Malawi

Dr Neha Mittal - University of Leeds, UK; Dr David Mkwabisi - Lilongwe University of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Malawi; Prof. Andrew Dougill - University of Leeds, UK

Climate change is a global phenomenon with potential effects at the local level. Our analysis of climate model projections indicates that mean annual temperature for Malawi may increase by 2.3 – 6.3°C by the 2090s (Figure 1), while rainfall projections…

Evaluating climate models with an African lens

James, R., Washington, R., Abiodun, B., Kay, G., Mutemi, J., Pokam, W., Hart, N., Artan, G. and Senior, C.

Africa lags the rest of the world in climate model development. This paper explores the potential for region-specific, process-based evaluation to promote progress in modeling and confidence assessments.

Evaluation for the performance of the CORDEX regional climate models in simulating rainfall characteristics over Mbarali river catchment in the Rufiji Basin, Tanzania

Edmund Mutayoba and Japhet J. Kashaigili

This study aims to evaluate the performance of the individual Regional Climate Models (RCMs) used in Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) and the ensemble average of the four RCMs to feign the characteristics of the rainfall pattern for the…