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Implications of improved representation of convection for the East Africa water budget using a convection permitting model

Declan L. Finney, John H. Marsham, Lawrence S. Jackson, Elizabeth J. Kendon, David P. Rowell, Penelope M. Boorman, Richard J. Keane, Rachel A. Stratton and Catherine A. Senior

The precipitation and diabatic heating resulting from moist convection make it a key component of the atmospheric water budget in the tropics. With convective parametrisation being a known source of uncertainty in global models, convection-permitting (CP) models are increasingly being…

Press release: Climate change information needed for East African decision-making: Hon James Acidri (Uganda Member of Parliament) and Bob Natifu (Uganda Deputy Commissioner for Climate Change) open the HyCRISTAL “Research into Policy” Conference in Kampala, Uganda, 21-22 May 2019.

John Marsham, Beth Mackay, Gabriela Lopez Gonzalez, Dave Rowell, Barbara Evans, David Macdonald, Ros Cornforth

“Climate Change is already affecting our society and all regions of Uganda,” said Mr. Bob Natifu (Uganda Deputy Commissioner for Climate Change). His keynote address left attendees at the final annual HyCRISTAL (Integrating Hydro-Climate Science into Policy Decisions for Climate-Resilient Infrastructure and Livelihoods…

Future changes and uncertainty in decision-relevant measures of East African climate

F. Jorge Bornemann, David P. Rowell, Barbara Evans, Dan J. Lapworth, Kamazima Lwiza, David M.J. Macdonald, John H. Marsham, Kindie Tesfaye, Matthew J. Ascott, and Celia Way

The need for the development of adaptation strategies for climate change in Africa is becoming critical. For example, infrastructure with a long lifespan now needs to be designed or adapted to account for a future climate that will be different…

Later Wet Seasons with More Intense Rainfall over Africa under Future Climate Change

Caroline M. Dunning, Emily Black and Richard P. Allan

Changes in the seasonality of precipitation over Africa have high potential for detrimental socioeconomic impacts due to high societal dependence upon seasonal rainfall. Here, for the first time we conduct a continental-scale analysis of changes in wet season characteristics under…

Brief: Possible futures for urban East Africa under a changing climate

Laura Burgin, Met Office, UK; Grady Walker, Walker Institute, University of Reading; Celia Way, University of Leeds; Rosalind Cornforth, Walker Institute, University of Reading; Barbara Evans, University of Leeds; Dave Rowell, Met Office, UK; John Marsham, University of Leeds; Fred Semazzi, North Carolina State University; Geoffrey Sabiiti, Makerere University, ICPAC; Andrew Ainslie, University of Reading; Julio Araujo, SouthSouthNorth; Matthew Ascott, British Geological Survey; Dai Clegg, Evidence for Development; Andrew Clenaghan, Practical Action; Dan Lapworth, British Geological Survey; Kamazima Lwiza, Stony Brook University; David Macdonald, British Geological Survey; Celia Petty, Evidence for Development; John Seaman, Evidence for Development; Caroline Wainwright, University of Reading

Three possibilities for what the climate might be like in 2050 and the resulting impacts felt by urban areas of East Africa are described here. Three climate futures have been selected to demonstrate a range of plausible futures but they…

Infographic: Possible futures for urban East Africa under a changing climate

Laura Burgin, Met Office, UK; Grady Walker, Walker Institute, University of Reading; Celia Way, University of Leeds; Rosalind Cornforth, Walker Institute, University of Reading; Barbara Evans, University of Leeds; Dave Rowell, Met Office, UK; John Marsham, University of Leeds; Fred Semazzi, North Carolina State University; Geoffrey Sabiiti, Makerere University, ICPAC; Andrew Ainslie, University of Reading; Julio Araujo, SouthSouthNorth; Matthew Ascott, British Geological Survey; Dai Clegg, Evidence for Development; Andrew Clenaghan, Practical Action; Dan Lapworth, British Geological Survey; Kamazima Lwiza, Stony Brook University; David Macdonald, British Geological Survey; Celia Petty, Evidence for Development; John Seaman, Evidence for Development; Caroline Wainwright, University of Reading

The impacts of climate change will vary across the region according to a range of local factors. This infographic represents the impacts that may be felt in Urban East Africa under three different possible climate futures. Which of these impacts could be…

Infographic: Possible futures for rural East Africa under a changing climate

Laura Burgin, Met Office, UK; Grady Walker, Walker Institute, University of Reading; Celia Way, University of Leeds; Rosalind Cornforth, Walker Institute, University of Reading; Barbara Evans, University of Leeds; Dave Rowell, Met Office, UK; John Marsham, University of Leeds; Fred Semazzi, North Carolina State University; Geoffrey Sabiiti, Makerere University, ICPAC; Andrew Ainslie, University of Reading; Julio Araujo, SouthSouthNorth; Matthew Ascott, British Geological Survey; Dai Clegg, Evidence for Development; Andrew Clenaghan, Practical Action; Dan Lapworth, British Geological Survey; Kamazima Lwiza, Stony Brook University; David Macdonald, British Geological Survey; Celia Petty, Evidence for Development; John Seaman, Evidence for Development; Caroline Wainwright, University of Reading

The impacts of climate change will vary across the region according to a range of local factors. This infographic represents the impacts that may be felt in rural East Africa under three different possible climate futures. Which of these impacts…

Brief: Possible futures for Rural East Africa under a changing climate

Laura Burgin, Met Office, UK; Grady Walker, Walker Institute, University of Reading; Celia Way, University of Leeds; Rosalind Cornforth, Walker Institute, University of Reading; Barbara Evans, University of Leeds; Dave Rowell, Met Office, UK; John Marsham, University of Leeds; Fred Semazzi, North Carolina State University; Geoffrey Sabiiti, Makerere University, ICPAC; Andrew Ainslie, University of Reading; Julio Araujo, SouthSouthNorth; Matthew Ascott, British Geological Survey; Dai Clegg, Evidence for Development; Andrew Clenaghan, Practical Action; Dan Lapworth, British Geological Survey; Kamazima Lwiza, Stony Brook University; David Macdonald, British Geological Survey; Celia Petty, Evidence for Development; John Seaman, Evidence for Development; Caroline Wainwright, University of Reading

These stories describe three possible futures for rural East Africa in 2050. How the climate will change in the coming decades is uncertain, so three different plausible futures are included to demonstrate this range. These futures do not cover every…