PUBLICATIONS

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Embracing uncertainty without abandoning planning

Ward Rauws

The uncertainties that are part of the development trajectories of cities challenge spatial planners in designing productive interventions. This paper explores how complexity theory can support planners in dealing with these uncertainties intelligently. It presents a dynamic, time-sensitive understanding of…

Future Climate for Africa - Brochure (English)

CCKE

The Future Climate For Africa Programme presents two major opportunities to: Generate fundamentally new climate science focused on Africa, and Ensure that this science has an impact on human development across the continent. FCFA is a £20 million (US$30 million)…

Interactive Digibook; Africa's Climate: Helping decisions-makers make sense of climate information

Experts from the Future Climate for Africa programme

Please visit our interactive digibook by clicking here: 2016report.futureclimateafrica.org

The curious nature of the hemispheric symmetry of the earth's water and energy balances

Stephens, G., Hakuba, M., Hawcroft, M., Haywood, J., Behrangi, A., Kay, J. and Webster, P.

This paper presents new estimates of the hemispheric energy balance based on an assembly of radiative flux and ocean heat data. Further, it provides an overview of recent simulations with fully coupled climate models to investigate the role of its…

Co-exploratory climate risk workshops: Experiences from urban Africa

A. Steynor, J. Padgham, C. Jack, B. Hewitson, C. Lennard

Co-production is increasingly recognised as integral to appropriate use and uptake of climate information into decision-making. However, the success of co-production is contingent on an innate understanding of the context in which it is being implemented. Climate knowledge co-production in…

Modeling haboob dust storms in large-scale weather and climate models

Pantillon, F., Knippertz, P., Marsham, J., Panitz, H. and Bischoff-Gauss, I.

Recent field campaigns have shown that haboob dust storms, formed by convective cold pool outflows, contribute a significant fraction of dust uplift over the Sahara and Sahel in summer. However, in situ observations are sparse and haboobs are frequently concealed…

The impact of equilibrating hemispheric albedos on tropical performance in the HadGEM2-ES coupled climate model

Haywood, J., Jones, A., Dunstone, N., Milton, S., Vellinga, M., Bodas-Salcedo, A., Hawcroft, M., Kravitz, B., Cole, J., Watanabe, S. and Stephens, G.

The Earth’s hemispheric reflectances are equivalent to within ± 0.2Wm_2, even though the Northern Hemisphere contains a greater proportion of higher reflectance land areas, because of greater cloud cover in the Southern Hemisphere. This equivalence is unlikely to be by…

Mainstreaming climate information into sector development

Paul Watkiss

This report demonstrates the use of climate information in assessing adaptation needs and implementing adaptation interventions. It provides an outline of the change in thinking that is happening as adaptation moves from theory to practice, how this translates into a different…

FCFA Programme Rationale

Ranger, Garnett, Pierce, Aspinall

FCFA will increase the quality and availability of such information and build greater expertise in how to apply this in core development areas. As such, FCFA will contribute towards increasing the resilience of African people to climate variability and change,…

Promoting the use of climate information to achieve long-term development objectives in sub-Saharan Africa: Results from the Future Climate For Africa scoping phase

Lindsey Jones, Elizabeth Carabine, Jean-Pierre Roux and Thomas Tanner

The Future Climate For Africa (FCFA) programme explores these questions and seeks to challenge many of the assumptions that underlie them. To guide the programme, six case studies investigated how climate information was being used in decision making in sub-Saharan Africa. These comprised…