PUBLICATIONS

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Process based model evaluation and projections over southern Africa from CORDEX and CMIP5 models

Izidine Pinto, Chris Jack and Bruce Hewitson

Decision‐scale relevant climate information on climate change is needed to inform policy and decision making but often involves high uncertainty. To enhance confidence in interpreting regional climate projections, it is important to understand the underlying physical processes driving the change.…

Tropical storm Chedza and associated floods over south-eastern Africa

Ramontsheng S. Rapolaki and Chris J. C. Reason

Widespread flooding over parts of Malawi, Mozambique, and Madagascar occurred in January 2015. An impact assessment by the World Bank indicated huge damage to property, infrastructure, and agriculture over several regions in south-eastern Africa as well as significant loss of…

On the likelihood of tropical-extratropical cloud bands in the South Indian Convergence Zone during ENSO events

Neil. G. Hart, Richard Washington and Chris J. C. Reason

The Southern Hemisphere subtropical convergence zones are important regions of rainfall in the subtropics. The south Indian Ocean convergence zone (SICZ) has the strongest seasonality and exhibits substantial interannual variability in strength and position during austral summer. On synoptic time…

On the Likelihood of Tropical–Extratropical Cloud Bands in the South Indian Convergence Zone during ENSO Events

Neil C. G. Hart, Richard Washington and Chris J. C. Reason

This study investigates how the seasonality in satellite-observed cloud band frequency emerges from the interplay between the asynchronous seasonal cycles in convective instability and upper-level flow, as represented by reanalysis data. These atmospheric mean states are diagnosed with a gross…

Discourse analysis as a method for understanding the framing of urban governance

Waagsaether, K.L. & Scott, D.

Discourse analysis is an analytical approach applied by social scientists as part of the FRACTAL urban governance research, and includes both analysis of verbal engagements and analysis of policies and related documents. In practical terms, this implies unpacking how language…

Building Resilience in African Cities: A Think Piece

Spires, M., Kavonic, J., Cullis, J. & Coll Besa, M.

Resilience has become a powerful term, used in multiple contexts, at multiple scales. A mutually understood definition, that all who use it adhere to, is lacking, particularly in relation to the future development of cities, and in the developing world.…

Integrating climate change information into long-term planning and design for critical water-related infrastructure in Windhoek and other African cities

Walker, N., Iipinge, K., Cullis, J., Scott, D., Mfune, J. and Jack, C.

A research team within FRACTAL undertook work on a question that came out of the first Learning Lab: “What climate information is needed for infrastructure design in Windhoek?” The conference paper, Integrating climate change information into long-term planning and design…

Projected impacts of climate extremes over selected African coastal cities under 1.5̊C and 2.0̊C Global Warming

Indasi V S, Nikulin G, Lennard C, Hewitson B, Jack C and Waagsaether K.

Research paper contribution to the Cities IPCC Cities and Climate Change Science Conference, 5-7th March 2018, Edmonton, Canada.

Climate information websites: an evolving landscape

Hewitson B., Waagsaether K., Wohland J., Kloppers K. and Kara T.

The climate change agenda is populated by actors and agencies with different objectives, values, and motivations, yet many seek decision scale climate information to inform policy and adaptation responses. A central element of this network of activity is the climate…

Inspiring Climate Action in African Cities: Practical options for resilient pathways

Butterfield, R.E., Coll Besa, M., Burmeister, H., Blair, K., Kavonic, J., Bharwani, S., Cullis, J., Spires, M. and Mwalukanga, B.

This working paper is inspired by the two Adaptation Inspiration Books developed by European Commission projects: ‘Adaptation Inspiration Book: 22 Implemented cases of local climate change adaptation to European citizens -Climate Impact Research and Response Coordination for a Larger Europe…