PUBLICATIONS

Loading...

Evidence of crop production losses in West Africa due to historical global warming in two crop models

Benjamin Sultan, Dimitri Defrance and Toshichika Iizumi

Achieving food security goals in West Africa will depend on the capacity of the agricultural sector to feed the rapidly growing population and to moderate the adverse impacts of climate change. Indeed, a number of studies anticipate a reduction of…

Press release: Water resources model shows how climate change poses risks to future water availability in Malawi

Declan Conway, Estelle Rouhaud, Beth Mackay, Ajay Bhave

The UMFULA (Uncertainty Reduction in Models for Understanding Development Applications) research group, that is part of the programme Future Climate for Africa, have been investigating how future climate change will affect water resources in Malawi. The UMFULA research team has developed a water…

TAMSAT-ALERT v1: a new framework for agricultural decision support

Dagmawi Asfaw, Emily Black, Matthew Brown, Kathryn Jane Nicklin, Frederick Otu-Larbi, Ewan Pinnington, Andrew Challinor, Ross Maidment, and Tristan Quaife

Early warning of weather-related hazards enables farmers, policy makers and aid agencies to mitigate their exposure to risk. We present a new operational framework, Tropical Applications of Meteorology using SATellite data and ground based measurements-AgricuLtural EaRly warning sysTem (TAMSAT-ALERT), which…

Adaptive Introgression: An Untapped Evolutionary Mechanism for Crop Adaptation

Concetta Burgarella, Adeline Barnaud, Ndjido Ardo Kane, Frédérique Jankowski, Nora Scarcelli, Claire Billot, and Cécile Berthouly-Salazar

Global environmental changes strongly impact wild and domesticated species biology and their associated ecosystem services. For crops, global warming has led to significant changes in terms of phenology and/or yield. To respond to the agricultural challenges of this century, there…

Policy brief: Policy coherence for sustainable development in sub-Saharan Africa

Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment and London School of Economics and Political Science

Cross-sectoral approaches to policy development are essential to meeting the Paris Agreement on climate change and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), which define the post-2015 development agenda. Coherent policy development requires strategic, logical assessment of interlinkages, trade-offs and opportunities within…

FONERWA Climate risk screening tool

Julio Araujo, Nkulumo Zinyengere and Zablone Owiti

Rwanda’s Green Fund, FONERWA, is at the forefront of investing in agricultural projects and continues to address climate change issues through adaptation and mitigation projects. In order to ensure that investments have a long legacy and are appropriately aligned with…

Climate change adaptation and cross-sectoral policy coherence in southern Africa

Matthew I. England, Andrew J. Dougill, Lindsay C. Stringer, Katharine E. Vincent, Joanna Pardoe, Felix K. Kalaba, David D. Mkwambisi, Emilinah Namaganda & Stavros Afionis

This paper, using the cases of Malawi, Tanzania and Zambia, investigates the extent of coherence in national policies across the water and agriculture sectors and to climate change adaptation goals outlined in national development plans. A two-pronged qualitative approach is…

A bias-corrected CMIP5 dataset for Africa using CDF-t method. A contribution to agricultural impact studies.

Adjoua Moise Famien, Serge Janicot, Abe Delfin Ochou, Mathieu Vrac, Dimitri Defrance, Benjamin Sultan and Thomas Noël

The objective of this paper is to present a new dataset of bias-corrected CMIP5 global climate model (GCM) daily data over Africa. This dataset was obtained using the cumulative distribution function transform (CDF-t) method, a method that has been applied to several…

CI4T Briefing note for Kenya

Dr Neha Mittal; Dr John K. Bore; Dr Joseph Sang; Prof. Andrew Dougill

Climate change is a global phenomenon with potential effects at the local level. Future climate projections indicates that mean annual temperature for Kenya may increase by 2.0 to 3.6°C by 2100 (Figure 1), while annual total precipitation may increase by…

CI4T Briefing note for Malawi

Dr Neha Mittal - University of Leeds, UK; Dr David Mkwabisi - Lilongwe University of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Malawi; Prof. Andrew Dougill - University of Leeds, UK

Climate change is a global phenomenon with potential effects at the local level. Our analysis of climate model projections indicates that mean annual temperature for Malawi may increase by 2.3 – 6.3°C by the 2090s (Figure 1), while rainfall projections…