PUBLICATIONS

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Key messages from the UMFULA project

UMFULA team

UMFULA has addressed questions of climate science, climate impacts and decision-making processes for adaptation, including: How does the climate of central and southern Africa work? And how well do climate models represent the key processes responsible for climate? How might the climate…

Scientific Understanding of East African climate change from the HyCRISTAL project

Declan Finney, John Marsham, Dave Rowell et al.

Integrating Hydro-Climate Science into Policy Decisions for Climate-Resilient Infrastructure and Livelihoods in East Africa (HyCRISTAL) is a Future Climate for Africa (FCFA) project funded to deliver new understanding of East African climate change and its impacts, and to demonstrate use…

Implications of improved representation of convection for the East Africa water budget using a convection permitting model

Declan L. Finney, John H. Marsham, Lawrence S. Jackson, Elizabeth J. Kendon, David P. Rowell, Penelope M. Boorman, Richard J. Keane, Rachel A. Stratton and Catherine A. Senior

The precipitation and diabatic heating resulting from moist convection make it a key component of the atmospheric water budget in the tropics. With convective parametrisation being a known source of uncertainty in global models, convection-permitting (CP) models are increasingly being…

Co-production in African weather and climate services

Suzanne Carter, Anna Steynor, Katharine Vincent, Emma Visman, Katinka Lund Waagsaether, Julio Araujo, Fiona Percy, Madeleine Thomson

Co-production is being used to improve the quality of weather and climate services and to encourage better use of these services in a range of decisions across many sectors. The key to a co-production approach is bringing together the producers of weather…

A guide to Effective Collaboration and Learning in Consortia

Bettina Koelle, Lucia Scodanibbio, Katharine Vincent, Blane Harvey, Maarten van Aalst, Sophie Rigg, Nicola Ward, and Margot Curl

Working in the complex context of climate change adaptation and resilience, individuals and organisations are often required to work together in consortia across disciplinary, institutional, geographical, and cultural boundaries. Working in large consortia offers great opportunities for addressing complex problems.…

Dry-lines in Southern Africa: Rediscovering the Congo Air Boundary

Emma Howard and Richard Washington

Projected rainfall decline in southern Africa is likely to be highly sensitive to subtleties in the local atmospheric circulation. In an effort to understand the regional circulation complexities, a novel algorithm is developed to identify the Congo Air Boundary (CAB)…

Evidence of crop production losses in West Africa due to historical global warming in two crop models

Benjamin Sultan, Dimitri Defrance and Toshichika Iizumi

Achieving food security goals in West Africa will depend on the capacity of the agricultural sector to feed the rapidly growing population and to moderate the adverse impacts of climate change. Indeed, a number of studies anticipate a reduction of…

Creating useful and usable weather and climate information - insights from Participatory Scenario Planning in Malawi

Dorothy Tembo-Nhlema, Katharine Vincent and Rebecka Henriksson Malinga

For weather and climate information to be used at the grassroots level, it needs to be effectively interpreted and communicated so that it is both useful and usable. The gap between producers and users, however, has typically not been filled.…

Guide: Approaches to communicating climatic uncertainties with decision-makers

Jordan Harold; Kenny R. Coventry; Emma Visman; Ismahan Soukeyna Diop; Jessica Kavonic; Irene Lorenzoni; Chris Jack; Tanya Warnaars

This guide highlights two approaches used by researchers to communicate climate projections, and associated uncertainties, in west and southern African contexts. It provides descriptions of these approaches, guidance on how best to incorporate them into wider stakeholder engagement processes and contexts, and the constraints and opportunities associated with each approach. The…

Working paper: An Embedded Researcher approach to integrate climate information into decision making in southern African cities: lessons from FRACTAL

Lulu Pretorius; Anna Taylor; Kornelia N Iipinge; Brenda Mwalukanga; Hecrálito Mucavele; Rudo Mamombe; Sandra Zenda; Alice McClure

There is often a disconnection or gap between scientific knowledge and the implementation of actions aimed at addressing related problems. This gap is especially evident in fields with complex interactions between a multitude of factors and actors, such as sustainability…