Welcome to the June 2020 edition of the Future Climate for Africa newsletter showcasing the recent highlights and work of FCFA.
55th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum: HyCRISTAL discusses recent floods, climate change and actions needed
As the triple threats of floods, locusts and Covid-19 unfold in East Africa, all arguably linked to the crises of climate change and biodiversity loss, ICPAC (IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre) convened the fifty fifth Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Form (GHACOF55) virtually for the first time. The HyCRISTAL presentation generated valuable discussion on what we do and don’t know about future change, rainfall intensification, tropical cyclones, and how climate change may or may not have contributed to the extreme weather of the last year.
HyCRISTAL has spent the past four years exploring how to draw together the experiences of people living through typical flood events in East African cities, with local governments’ planning and the scientific information coming from climate researchers. The goal is to support local governments with better climate adaptation and planning, incorporating the knowledge and experience of affected stakeholders.
Tea is the second-most consumed drink on Earth, after water. But in many places like Kenya and Malawi, Africa’s top tea-producing countries, climate change threatens tea production. Listen to the story from researcher Neha Mittal on the Yale Climate Connections Podcast.
In an effort to bridge the gap between communities and decision makers, Dr Grady Walker travelled to Mukono, Uganda, to train farmers in video production and the development of stories. They then used these films to communicate directly with the Mukono District government.
The coronavirus pandemic hits communities already reeling from the worst locust outbreak in 70 years and record high water levels in Lake Victoria. A year of exceptional rainfall, floods and locust outbreaks is decreasing the resilience of vulnerable populations in East Africa just at the time of the Covid-19 pandemic.
As part of the HyCRISTAL Project, the team spent time with some community groups in Kisumu, Kenya and Kampala, Uganda talking about their experiences of flooding in the urban areas where they live. They talked about what happened before, during and after a flood, and how high the waters came and where actually got flooded. Initially this was to inform flood modelling, and check the accuracy of simulations, but listening to their stories, HyCRISTAL wanted to do something with the stories they were telling about their real, lived experience of these events.
Welcome to the March 2020 edition of the Future Climate for Africa newsletter showcasing the recent highlights and work of FCFA.
New HyCRISTAL paper shows risk of increased rainfall rates under climate change is widespread across Eastern Africa
Recent research from HyCRISTAL has identified that the risk of increased rainfall rates under climate change is widespread across Eastern Africa. The work used a state-of-the-art climate model which provides much more detail and greatly improves the representation of storms compared to models typically used. The results indicate that average rain rates across the region could increase 40% by end-of-century under a high-end, business-as-usual scenario. The intensity of more extreme rainfall events could increase by even more.
54th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum: HyCRISTAL presents on decision-making for climate change preparedness
HyCRISTAL will be sharing its research with users at GHACOF54, and working with users to start dialogue on the time-lines of actions needed in response to the climate risks the region faces, addressing all the sectors represented at GHACOF, and their inter-dependencies. In particular, discussion will focus on what actions are needed now, in order to address threats that may still be decades away, and whether any uncertainty in these threats affects the actions required now.